In spite of the strong market return, consumer sentiment remains at a low level, maybe due to the fact not all consumers enjoy the direct benefit of a rising stock market. However, when sentiment is lower, stock market returns tend to be strong.
The SPX has been unable to make much progress into higher price levels for a couple of months. It seems ready for a price consolidation, which means it is likely time to be a bit cautious towards stock prices in the longer-term.
As of February 1, 2026, the global financial landscape has been fundamentally rewired by a concept once relegated to the fringes of crypto-economic theory: Information Finance, or "InfoFi." What began as a tool for political junkies to hedge election risks has evolved into the world’s most potent data transmission mechanism. Prediction markets have transitioned from [...]
As the world wakes up on February 1, 2026, the traditional tools of diplomacy and statecraft are increasingly being viewed through a new, high-resolution lens: the prediction market. In a year already defined by unprecedented volatility, three major geopolitical flashpoints have emerged as the primary drivers of global speculation. Traders are currently navigating a landscape [...]
The landscape of global finance reached a definitive turning point in late 2025, as prediction markets shed their reputation as "crypto-native niches" to become a cornerstone of the institutional financial stack. This transformation was signaled most loudly by the Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE), the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, which finalized a [...]
The traditional news ticker is undergoing a radical transformation. As of February 1, 2026, the familiar crawl of stock prices and weather updates has been joined—and in some cases replaced—by a far more dynamic metric: real-time "wisdom of the crowd" probabilities. From the halls of the U.S. Congress to the red carpets of Hollywood, prediction [...]
The dawn of 2026 has marked a definitive shift in the global financial ecosystem: prediction markets are no longer the exclusive playground of crypto-native speculators and data scientists. What was once a niche corner of the internet, often viewed with regulatory skepticism, has been institutionalized. Today, the "Wall Street Takeover" of prediction markets—now increasingly referred [...]
As the 2026 midterm election cycle kicks into high gear, the political prediction landscape has been fundamentally reshaped by the official relaunch of PredictIt. Long considered the "academic gold standard" for political forecasting, the platform has emerged from years of regulatory limbo with a massive upgrade that many are calling the "New Era" of information [...]
The landscape of American financial forecasting shifted fundamentally on January 29, 2026. In a move that market participants are calling a "regulatory ceasefire," Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Michael Selig formally withdrew the proposed ban on political and sports event contracts—a relic of the Rostin Behnam era that had throttled the industry for nearly [...]
The predawn hours of January 3, 2026, will be remembered for one of the most audacious military operations in modern history: "Operation Absolute Resolve." As U.S. special operations forces descended on Caracas to extract Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, the geopolitical landscape shifted in an instant. But while the world watched the tactical execution of the [...]
As the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots prepare to take the field for Super Bowl LX at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California, a quiet financial revolution is unfolding in the stands and across the Golden State. Despite California’s long-standing and contentious ban on traditional sports betting, residents are currently pouring millions of dollars [...]
The prediction market landscape has officially entered its most volatile and high-stakes era yet. Following a staggering 2025 that saw over $40 billion in total trading volume, the industry is now locked in what analysts are calling the "Great Prediction War." This isn't just a race for market share; it is a fundamental clash between [...]
Mark Cuban, a billionaire investor and popular television personality, said after Kamala Harris’ 2024 electoral defeat that young male cryptocurrency voters turned against her due to Gary Gensler’s policies.
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